Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 3.206559 3.388253 3.581271 3.802724 4.051230 4.323240 4.645943
2025-09-07 2.893777 3.136109 3.406522 3.734428 4.126725 4.588462 5.185084
2025-09-14 2.655929 2.931515 3.250413 3.653990 4.162563 4.799735 5.690662
2025-09-21 2.463527 2.756727 3.105528 3.562061 4.162410 4.956158 6.149601
2025-09-28 2.346418 2.659028 3.040635 3.556499 4.264221 5.253853 6.866788
2025-10-05 2.318024 2.665166 3.101845 3.715478 4.603057 5.939297 8.383338
2025-10-12 2.250264 2.614615 3.083184 3.761260 4.783807 6.420951 9.747870
2025-10-19 2.187031 2.564318 3.058970 3.793828 4.945496 6.902806 11.350333
2025-10-26 2.150464 2.545677 3.074582 3.883123 5.206453 7.620856 13.979153
2025-11-02 2.086042 2.485161 3.026697 3.870912 5.295560 8.035188 16.187606
2025-11-09 1.994704 2.383287 2.913886 3.748644 5.177976 7.998494 16.953230
2025-11-16 1.922173 2.304108 2.829350 3.664247 5.117791 8.073970 18.244930
2025-11-23 1.862272 2.244381 2.776128 3.636198 5.176962 8.483148 21.798351
2025-11-30 1.796676 2.174285 2.704584 3.574025 5.167404 8.741727 25.433739
2025-12-07 1.732740 2.103990 2.629274 3.500226 5.127255 8.921040 29.420158
2025-12-14 1.670621 2.033860 2.550805 3.415508 5.055641 9.002814 33.391466
2025-12-21 1.633142 1.997312 2.520893 3.410467 5.144723 9.572592 46.537853
2025-12-28 1.634589 2.016504 2.576449 3.557301 5.578701 11.450365 175.149453
2026-01-04 1.611568 1.998745 2.573342 3.599522 5.792983 12.784133 NaN
2026-01-11 1.587364 1.978066 2.564213 3.629530 5.985488 14.229057 NaN
2026-01-18 1.575217 1.974663 2.582217 3.711674 6.325219 16.806252 NaN
2026-01-25 1.545380 1.943351 2.553089 3.700457 6.422806 18.279785 NaN
2026-02-01 1.497784 1.883646 2.474938 3.587936 6.230415 17.764538 NaN